Week 4 NFL Power Rankings

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The official Arrowhead Guys NFL Power Rankings.


Tier 1: The Super Bowl Contenders

1: Kansas City Chiefs (Week 3: 1)

I covered the game in a post yesterday. The short version, no need to panic.

But one more note. Remember that this is a rebuilding year for the Chiefs. Not that we’re not contenders, but that we didn’t absolutely maximize everything this year. If you’re the type to think the season is over after this loss, you’ll be happy to know that with just two moves (cutting Frank Clark and restructuring Mahomes) the Chiefs will clear $50 million in cap space next year, and on top of the $26 million they already have they’re going to have a huge $76 million in cap space that will enable them to make some major moves to plug whatever holes reveal themselves this season.

2: Green Bay Packers (Week 3: 2)
3: Buffalo Bills (Week 3: 4)

The Bills also lost, but like the Chiefs I’m not worried about them. This was a game I expected the Dolphins to go all out for, and since the Dolphins are actually a pretty good team they had a good chance of winning over a Bills team that viewed this as just another game. It wasn’t as flukey as the Chiefs loss, but the quality of opponent was also much higher. I just don’t see any reason why that game means they’re not still this good.

Tier 2: The Playoff Contenders


4: Philadelphia Eagles (Week 3: 5)

The Eagles were a sleeper contender for a lot of people, and through 3 games they’ve certainly looked it as their biggest struggle was weathering a Lions comeback after initially building a big lead. 

That being said, I’d still like to see more before bumping them up a tier. They don’t have the recent history to give them the benefit of the doubt, and their wins haven’t been against the toughest competition. With Jacksonville looking stronger this year a strong performance against them could do it. 

5: Miami Dolphins (Week 3: 8)

Like the Eagles, the Dolphins got a nice win to go to 3-0 and make you wonder if they should be in the contender category. And like the Eagles, I’d like to see just a little bit more. But unlike the Eagles, the Dolphins have beaten a couple good teams in the Ravens and Bills. But with the Ravens win requiring a wild comeback, and the Bills being their Super Bowl, I want to see them beat a team like the Bengals in a game that’s now just another week. Any quality team can have an impressive win or two, but a true contender wins week-in week-out even when they’re not 100% up for it.

6: Baltimore Ravens (Week 3: 9)

Is it just me, or are the Ravens really going under the radar? Maybe it’s because I always thought they were overrated back when everybody thought they were the greatest team ever, so to me this team is as good as they’ve ever been with Lamar. The one issue is that they apparently have some injury issues, but they haven’t shown up yet. 

7: San Francisco 49ers (Week 3: 3)

Finally dropped the 49ers. That game against Denver was awful, and on top of the ghastly loss to Chicago in week 1 it’s hard to justify keeping them in the contender tier. I’m still not entirely sold that they’re actually bad, but games like those can’t continue. Oh yeah, and Trent Williams got hurt, which is a major loss for them. 

8: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3: 10)
9: Tennessee Titans (Week 3: 11)
10: Las Vegas Raiders (Week 3: 7)

For all the hype the AFC West got for being the best and deepest division ever, the Raiders are failing to pull their weight as they sit at 0-3. On the flip side, the Titans finally got a win after back-to-back embarrassing losses to start the year. But after watching the game I’m not convinced one is significantly better than the other, and I still think both are at least decent. 

11: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Week 3: 12)
12: Jacksonville Jaguars (Week 3: 13)
13: Arizona Cardinals (Week 3: 14)
14: Minnesota Vikings (Week 3: 15)
15: Cincinnati Bengals (Week 3: 16)
16: Los Angeles Chargers (Week 3: 6)

I don’t like dropping the Chargers this much, even after a blowout loss, but their injuries are really getting out of hand and Herbert looked like he wasn’t even close to 100%. In fact, I think you could even justify dropping them down a tier. They just looked completely outmatched by a Jaguars team that isn’t quite that good. Maybe they’ll get some back and be better than this ranking, but as of this writing I’m assuming 


Tier 3: The Less-Than-Good Teams

17: Seattle Seahawks (Week 3: 17)
18: Denver Broncos (Week 3: 18)
19: Cleveland Browns (Week 3: 25)
20: Pittsburgh Steelers (Week 3: 20)

The Steelers are now 0-6 without T.J. Watt, a record that they have no right to continue as they take on the Jets this week. But that doesn’t matter, at this point it’s inexcusable that they aren’t starting their 1st round rookie Kenny Picket. 

21: Indianapolis Colts (Week 3: 21)
22: Washington Commanders (Week 3: 22)
23: Carolina Panthers (Week 3: 24)
24: New Orleans Saints (Week 3: 23)

All those things I said about the Chiefs? It’s the reverse for the Colts. Even though they got a win over my top team, that is a worrying game for them. The Chiefs, without 3 starters on defense (if you include Danna), still were able to almost completely contain the Colts offense. Outside of the free touchdown they got on the muffed punt they scored 13 points. This in the game where they finally got their offensive guys back from injury. If this is how the offense is going to be the rest of the year they’re definitely not making the playoffs. 

25: New England Patriots (Week 3: 19)

I’m dropping the Patriots with Mac Jones almost certain to miss significant time. Not that Jones is all that great, but their backup is Brian Hoyer, who is perhaps the worst backup in the NFL. I honestly am shocked he still has a job. 

Tier 4: The Terrible Teams


26: Dallas Cowboys (Week 3: 26) 
27: Detroit Lions (Week 3: 27)
28: New York Giants (Week 3: 28)
29: New York Jets (Week 3: 29)
30: Atlanta Falcons (Week 3: 30)

31: Houston Texans (Week 3: 31)
32: Chicago Bears (Week 3: 32)

I don’t really feel like moving any of these teams at the moment. In my mind they’re all equally bad. As the season goes on maybe they’ll start to separate themselves but right now I just see no reason to believe one is better than the others.


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09/27/2022 10:44 pm

If your basing your surmises on potential , Methinks you ought swap the RaiDuhs & the DisChargers … : )

09/27/2022 4:37 pm

This shows the difference between a football fans rankings vs a reporter… a fan isn’t as fast to give up on a team, or to bless a new up and comer. a reporter, however, wants to have a lot of change to garner more clicks/interest even thought they know the team that they have at the top isn’t going to win the superbowl.

09/27/2022 1:40 pm

Your west coast bias is becoming overly apparent. Let’s start with the Geno Smith seagulls. That team sucks. Full stop. Then let’s move to the 49ers. That team sucks and their only win has come against the aforementioned super sucky Seattle seagulls. The Cardinals I’m not sure about but you probably have them a little high.

Reply to  Tony Sommer
09/27/2022 2:34 pm

The line for the game last week showed me Vegas does not like the 49ers. I think if Kittle could stay healthy and they didn’t have to use debo as a rb they would much better. The defense is there but I think that offense, no matter what qb, is no Bueno.

09/27/2022 1:04 pm

impressed by the Jags so far … they look like a “real” team for a change

Fins, Ravens also looking good (but more expected of them this season than the Jags)

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