This Season Could Be Tough

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Since Mahomes became the starter at quarterback, the Chiefs have been the class of the NFL. No other team can match their 50 regular season wins, 4 division titles, 4 conference championship game appearances, and 8 playoff wins.

But the 2022 season could be a return to normalcy for the Chiefs. Sure, Mahomes and Reid are a good enough duo that they can make even the worst rosters decent, and they do have potential (I mean, I did rank them number 1 in the latest power rankings), there are also a lot of unknowns on this roster that could spell trouble if they don’t work out.

Receivers

There’s been a lot of panic over the Tyreek Hill trade, panic that I think is completely wrong. But the Chiefs lost more than just Hill this offseason. Of the Chiefs’ top 6 receivers last year, only Kelce and Hardman remain. Hill (1,239 receiving yards), Pringle (568 yards), and Robinson (256 yards) are all playing in different cities next year, along with running back Darrel Williams, who had a fair number of receiving yards himself (452).

The Chiefs brought in a number of receivers to replace them (and Ronald Jones to replace Williams), but these guys aren’t without risk. The biggest money-getter, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, only started 7 games last year, while the other major free agent receiver addition in JuJu Smith-Schuster only started 5. These should be quality starters, but it won’t matter if they’re not on the field.

2nd round pick Skyy Moore has a lot of potential as well, but as a 2nd round pick, he is far from a sure thing.

Altogether, while the receiver room wasn’t exactly great outside of Hill before, and in theory the 2022 version will be deeper, there is still the potential that disaster happens and Mahomes is forced to throw to a bunch of scrubs.

Defense

The defense was up and down last year. At times looking absolutely dominant, and at others absolutely dreadful. This inconsistency clearly wasn’t good enough for the Chiefs, and they invested a lot of draft capital (on top of giving a big contract to safety Justin Reid) into the unit.

This could lead to improvement. But rookie players are hard to project, so it could also lead to disaster. Both Charvarius Ward and Melvin Ingram had solid seasons for the Chiefs last year, and both will be replaced by rookies. If these rookies don’t live up to their 1st round potential, an already sub-par defense could get even worse.

Schedule

On top of all of the schedule uncertainty, the Chiefs will have little room for error, as they’re projected to have an absolutely brutal schedule. No matter what happens, their record will be artificially inflated due to the teams they’re playing. But if the quality of the team slips even a little, it could mean not winning the division, or even missing the playoffs altogether, for the first time in years.

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3rdnlong
06/10/2022 11:13 pm

My thought? Bring it. No year is easy. We have the people, the will, the experience, and the loudest fans in the world.

BleedingRedAndGold
06/08/2022 4:52 pm

My thoughts on the D? Wait and see, lotta turnover on that side. The O’s the same way, but I think one thing we can say with some confidence is that it’ll be different.

My main hope is to see a return to swings and screens. Reid’s gotten away from those in the last three seasons, and I doubt it’s because the team stopped because of a lack of players who can execute on them. Rather, I think that Reid’s so meticulous about working those plays up that he’s set them aside over that period. Which makes sense, considering that the first two years he didn’t have complete offseasons to coach his players up, and last season, the OL wasn’t established as a cohesive unit. Both strike me as large enough factors to warrant such a shift.

Now if those plays stay out of the playbook this year, I’ll be scratching my head about it, unless something becomes obvious as things progress.

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
06/08/2022 1:35 pm

Is there a “This Season Could Be Lege…. wait for it….. dary” article coming out next?

Oline
Chiefs oline could good go from good to dominate this year. Returning all 5 starters after a year where all 5 starters were new, and having a possible replacement for the weakest link at RT. Could this be the best oline the chiefs have had since 2003?

RB
CEH is officially a bust. Which isn’t a good thing but now we can move on to find a good rb. RoJo, Pacheco, and Gore are going to get to compete to start behind a fantastic oline against light boxes. Eat boys.

Receiver depth
Buy buy Robinson. We never found that 2nd wr last year. Losing Hill sucks but I like Juju, mvs and Moore better than anybody else we had last year beyond hill. Hardman has settled into his gadget role so we shouldn’t have to pretend he’s wr2 material anymore. Beyond that look for Gray to be much improved in year 2.

Defense
Last year we were worried if Bolton was the real deal. He is. Now we’ve added a bunch more talent at LB and cast off our 2 least talented players Nieman and Hitchens. Expect this defense to be nastier this year. No more honey badger don’t care business decisions. No more Sorensen getting burned 8 times a game. Spags loves bringing pressure from all over the place. Now he has the guys to do it. If our draft picks work out. This defense could be our best defense since the 90s.

zulu trader
zulu trader
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
06/08/2022 1:50 pm

CEH. Is not a bust. Over 5 yards a carry in the playoffs

starry1
Reply to  zulu trader
06/08/2022 2:19 pm

He’s not a bust but he hasn’t lived up to his first round pick at all.

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  starry1
06/08/2022 2:42 pm

I mean if he was drafted in the 5th round, what would the narrative be around him? He’s okay but definitely not a bell cow. Change of pace guy. (In this case the slower pace)

NovaChiefs
Reply to  starry1
06/08/2022 5:11 pm

He isn’t a bust. He’s over drafted. Not his fault, not that you’re blaming him, of course.

vvet818
Reply to  zulu trader
06/08/2022 2:24 pm

i’m not a statistics person but here goes anyway, CEH 2020 + 2021: rushing yds- 1320 for a 4.4 yd. average.
Receiving yds- 426 for a 7.7 avg.
got these numbers from ESPN

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  vvet818
06/08/2022 2:31 pm

426 over 2 years? So less than 13 yards per game (thats considering 33 games not sure how many games he missed)

B-U-S-T

vvet818
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
06/08/2022 2:33 pm

played 23 games

vvet818
Reply to  vvet818
06/08/2022 2:34 pm

2020-13 games
2021-10 games

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  vvet818
06/08/2022 2:36 pm

Which is pathetic in and of itself.

So 18.5 receiving yards a game.

11 TDs total. Maybe he’ll reach 20 by the end of his contract.

upamtn
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
06/08/2022 4:39 pm

not sure why people are so high on Ronald Jones

for the two years he was a starter, he was in 30 games and had 474 yds receiving … 15.8 yds/game

BleedingRedAndGold
Reply to  upamtn
06/08/2022 4:42 pm

Perhaps it’s more a matter that they are so down on CEH that everyone else looks better than they are statistically?

upamtn
Reply to  BleedingRedAndGold
06/08/2022 5:33 pm

could be …

funny part is, CEH was drafted at #32 while RoJo was drafted at #38 … in terms of expectations v bust v how high was the guy drafted: pretty much the same IMO

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  upamtn
06/08/2022 5:37 pm

My main point is that he isn’t the presumptive starter going into camp. At least he shouldn’t be. Is Ronald Jones going to be better? Couldn’t tell you. He’s moving to a different system. CEH hasn’t worked in our system. Don’t expect that to change.

BleedingRedAndGold
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
06/08/2022 8:52 pm

As a receiving RB, that certainly can change, though, see my comment about how screen passes haven’t been in the playbook recently.

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  BleedingRedAndGold
06/08/2022 6:01 pm

No. Watch his highlights compared to CEH highlights and you see a major difference. Forget the stats. Look at the players.

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  upamtn
06/08/2022 6:00 pm

I’m one of the guys that’s really excited to have him in KC.

Watching his highlight reel from the last 2 years, I see A LOT of Jamaal Charles in him.

His running style is violent and decisive.

He has big play abilities.

He has power.

As a replacement for our bruiser, Darrel Williams, he is MUCH more explosive off the line and appears tougher between the tackles.

That’s why.

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  zulu trader
06/08/2022 2:28 pm

Undrafted Darrel Williams was better than he was. He got benched in the playoffs for a injury prone journeyman rb who the team did not bother to resign. B-U-S-T.

What’s the likelihood they pick up his 5th year option at this point?

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
06/08/2022 2:51 pm

In my fantasy drafts this year I am not drafting him before the 10th round

NovaChiefs
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
06/08/2022 5:15 pm

I’m not sure that the stats back that up

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  zulu trader
06/08/2022 2:44 pm

I’ll give him this. Once he got benched for jerrick McKinnon he played better. Maybe he’s just lazy.

gonzangkc11
gonzangkc11
Reply to  zulu trader
06/08/2022 3:31 pm

YEP..CEH IS A BUST!! 1st round rb are from year ONE are IMPACT players

Same peeps that held out hope for dee Ford pinto & Hardman

But ceh feels the heat foot steps this year

Last edited 1 month ago by gonzangkc11
DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  gonzangkc11
06/08/2022 3:49 pm

RBs don’t get better with age. He’s at the peak of his abilities right now. He’s had the opportunity. He’s our Sony Michel.

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  zulu trader
06/08/2022 3:47 pm

Bust is too harsh a word, in my opinion.

He hasn’t lived up to expectations and I think he’ll lose his starting position in camp this year to Rojo.

But he’s still super useful and will make some great plays. He’s just not a guy who you want running between the tackles on power plays. He strikes me more as an open space/screen type of guy and that’s where his skills are best utilized.

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  MasterChief
06/08/2022 3:51 pm

So from first round pick to platoon player who is not going to get a 2nd contract with us.

You can say it. It sounds harsh but let’s be realistic.

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
06/08/2022 4:13 pm

I guess I think of a bust as someone who gets dumped from a team, not just that they were chosen too high in the draft.

Breeland Speaks: Bust.

CEH: A decent/good player who is still on the team and will still make some great plays for us.

rip58
Reply to  MasterChief
06/08/2022 4:16 pm

I think our expectations were a little high on the CEH pick, I hope we never waist a first round pick on a RB ever again… we’ll see how he does this year but I got my money on Rojo…

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  MasterChief
06/08/2022 5:33 pm

He’s basically uncuttable thos year. They can cut him next year and save 2 mill. If they do that is he a bust?

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
06/08/2022 6:03 pm

So a starter/contributor for 3 years straight is a bust to you?

If you are strictly basing his bust status on his draft position, then yes. If you are saying the player is a bust, then NO. He’s not a bust.

Also, I’m not convinced we don’t bring him back. He won’t be able to command a lot of money and if Andy Reid likes him and he’s willing to come back, he’ll be back.

Last edited 1 month ago by MasterChief
DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  MasterChief
06/08/2022 11:26 pm

A) I don’t think he is going to be a starter this year.
B) He got benched for McKinnon last year.

Draft position has to be considered. We spent a 1st round pick on a 5th round talent.

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  Tony Sommer
06/08/2022 4:16 pm

I think Andy Reid skews my hopes in a positive direction (glass half full). Mahomes will also elevate those around him.

I also think the defense will be better than last year, so that helps too.

I guess we’ll have to wait and see!

Nasrani
Nasrani
06/08/2022 1:32 pm

I feel this also, particularly early on, when the new offense is still not quite firing on all cylinders. I give it four weeks, maybe six, before we are the well-oiled machine that Chiefs fans are accustomed to.

Nasrani
Nasrani
Reply to  Tony Sommer
06/08/2022 2:42 pm

That’s an excellent point and I hadn’t considered it. It will be new for both sides: us and our opponents. Which could work to our advantage.

MasterChief
MasterChief
06/08/2022 12:58 pm

We have a guy who has lifted and carried his team since he got here.

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upamtn
06/08/2022 12:15 pm

well said, Tony … these are all things that I note whenever someone is drinking “too much Koolaid”

there are NO guarantees that ANY player will work out the way we (fans) want and hope, nor are there guarantees that the team as a whole will win this or that game, much less the division (much less the Super Bowl)

sure, the Chiefs COULD “run the table” … they COULD make the playoffs AND the AFCCG again, nobody knows … but to think anyone (ESPECIALLY Mahomes) is anything other than “human” (and thus capable of mistakes and something other than “perfection”) is ludicrous, and inviting a huge letdown when the inevitable inevitably happens (see: 2021 Bengals v Chiefs AFCCG Second Half)

as usual: hope for the best but prepare for the worst and see what happens

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zulu trader
zulu trader
06/08/2022 12:14 pm

Go Chiefs!

gonzangkc11
gonzangkc11
06/08/2022 11:51 am

ENJOY LADIES 🙂
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