Chiefs Rooting Rankings: Week 1

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Arrowhead Guys tells you who to root for this week!

Welcome back to the NFL season. It’s been a long wait, and we almost didn’t get it, but here we are. Every week I’ll rank the games based on how much of a rooting interest we Chiefs fans have in the game. Of course for week 1 it’ll be a lot of guessing and projecting (last year I had the Chargers losing week 1 as our top priority) but it provides a guide when you have some non-Chiefs game on in the background and wonder who you should be rooting for.

But first the rules.

Rules

  1. The rankings and interests are based solely on which outcomes benefit the Chiefs the most. So while some may root for the Steelers to beat the Raiders because we hate the Raiders, from the Chiefs perspective it’s best for the Raiders to win and make it easier for the Chiefs to get the top seed.
  2. NFC vs. NFC matchups won’t be ranked. The only way they impact the Chiefs is if we get down to the 4th tiebreaker for playoff seeding (meaning head-to-head, win-loss record in conference games, and win-loss record in common games are all tied). in which case they factor into strength of victory and strength of schedule. Not only is this unlikely to be relevant, but even if it is we already know to root for NFC South teams (since that’s who we play this year).
  3. The Chiefs game won’t be ranked because, duh, we root for the Chiefs to win and it will always be our most important game.

Rankings

1: Giants over Steelers

I’ve surprised myself with this choice, but the other top AFC teams are playing other good AFC teams so neither side is great for the Chiefs. The Steelers are the only AFC contender playing a team that the Chiefs clearly don’t care about, so they get the top spot.

2: Dolphins over Patriots

Another odd choice, since I think the Patriots will be absolute garbage this year. But there is that part of me that fears that they’ll be able to keep on chugging, so it’d be nice if the Dolphins can confirm that they’re dead.

3: Jaguars over Colts

The Colts probably aren’t going to be at the Chiefs’ level, but Rivers used to be really good, and if he finds that old form they could be dangerous. On the other hand the Jaguars have a nice quarterback in Minshew with nothing around him, so they’re not going to be a real threat and should be safe to root for.

4: Bengals over Chargers

The Chargers were only 5-11 last year, but they were 12-4 in 2018 and there were a lot of signs that historically point to a team who’s primed to turn it around. Best for the Bengals to go ahead and nip their hopes in the bud.

5: Jets over Bills

Ironically this same matchup was ranked 5th in the week 1 rankings last season. While the Bills are a bit overrated, they could conceivably ride an easy division to a good record so it’s best to root against them.

6: Panthers over Raiders

The Raiders shouldn’t be much of a threat to the Chiefs, but better safe than sorry.

7: Titans over Broncos

I actually have the Titans ranked better than the Broncos, but the Broncos have a much higher ceiling. The Titans are a solid team but I don’t think they’ll contend for the top seed, while the Broncos have a lot of young talent that could come together this year and make them dangerous. Hopefully we’ll see a repeat of last year when the Titans crushed the hope of an offseason darling in the Browns in week 1.

8: Ravens over Browns

No, this isn’t due to my well-known hatred of the Ravens (which isn’t even really hatred, I still think they’ll have a winning record), but what the outcome of this game will say about the winner. While I don’t think the Ravens will be on the Chiefs’ level, they did go 14-2 last year, so it’s always possible they repeat that this year. On the other hand the Browns got a lot of hype for a reason, and they improved their two biggest weaknesses this offseason (offensive line and head coach). It’s very possible that the Browns will be as good as everybody thought they’d be in 2019, and if so they could be a real threat.

So it’s not that these are bad teams, but what the post-game narrative will be. I think the Browns have a higher ceiling so better for them to lose, but you can argue the other way as well.

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Leaf
09/11/2020 2:04 pm

The Raiders shouldn’t be much of a threat to the Chiefs, but better safe than sorry as always, Fuck the Raiders.

FIFY

upamtn
09/11/2020 1:52 pm

do we care? does it matter? look, all the Chiefs have to do is win … win … win … and the rest takes care of itself

and if they DON’T win, then they aren’t as good as we think they are, right? if the team is as good as we WANT to believe, they SHOULD bring it home all over again

we shall see … that’s why you play the games … and to BE the best, you have to BEAT the best

it’s all good

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  upamtn
09/11/2020 1:56 pm

Mattered last year when Mahomes went down for 3 games

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
09/11/2020 11:51 am

Donkeys schedule. Home Titans, @Steelers, home bucs, @ jets, @ pats. Oh ya and that jets game is Thursday night. I can very easily see them 0-5. Thats my number one rooting interest. Total chaos in Denver.

venturachief
venturachief
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
09/11/2020 1:11 pm

We’ll see how they look but the Jets are going to be terrible. The Titans are going to struggle in the altitude. The players aren’t in football shape yet and it is going to be rough in Denver. Clowney won’t add much in his first game. Not sure how good the Pats will be. I’m rooting for an 8-8 record for the Pats. I’d love for them to be stuck in mediocrity for a decade.

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  venturachief
09/11/2020 1:27 pm

I remember last year the Raiders had a chance to catch us around mid season. There was one week before our meeting, we had a bye and the Raiders had to play the awful Jets in NY. Cdot on 610 was like the Raiders are going to lose this game. Its hard flying all the way across the country and play. The stats back this up. Sure enough. Again this is Thursday night too. Donkeys are going to lose that game.

I think the donkeys are going to struggle against the titans with a new OC and starting 2 rookie wrs. I think the Titans kill the broncos. Really its a question of good hc versus horrible hc.

Leaf
Reply to  venturachief
09/11/2020 1:55 pm

Cam is probably an upgrade over TB so I wouldn’t hold my breath on an 8-8 record.

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  Leaf
09/11/2020 1:59 pm

Id disagree. Cam hasnt been good lately.

However what was Cassel’s record with Belicheat? Im not counting out the cheatriots until he’s gone.

And Belicheat is going to embarrass Drew Lock. I’m kind of looking forward to it.

Last edited 6 days ago by DenverDonkeyHater
Leaf
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
09/11/2020 2:34 pm

I’m not saying they are getting prime Cam, but people act like Brady, at age 96, is still going to be GOATing. He hasn’t had a Manning like drop off, but he’s not what he used to be.

venturachief
venturachief
Reply to  Leaf
09/11/2020 4:18 pm

A guy can dream, can’t he? If Belichick can pull off a good year with all of the covid opt outs and without adding any offensive weapons it would be his best year. They do get to play the Jets and Dolphins twice, so he’s got that going for him.

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  venturachief
09/11/2020 5:25 pm

Jets and fins twice and Donkeys, Raiders and Chargers. Beyond that their schedule blows. Still thats 7 games. Smells like 8-8 to me.

probablyamistake
probablyamistake
09/11/2020 11:35 am

Tony, you should indicate which team is at home. I’m lazy, don’t want to look it up.

probablyamistake
probablyamistake
Reply to  Tony Sommer
09/11/2020 1:19 pm

Got it.

cotton_don
Reply to  Tony Sommer
09/11/2020 7:30 pm

For the purpose of rooting for/against teams on a specific week, home/away status doesn’t really mean much. But, you could put the home team in ALL CAPS and mention that at the top. (e.g. BENGALS over Chargers) Just an idea…

tsv0728
tsv0728
09/11/2020 11:05 am

Man, you just really hate lamar lol. I’d probably put that game as #1 against the ravens as they are likely to have the 2nd best record in the AFC. The Brownies MIGHT be a threat. The ravens already are.

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  tsv0728
09/11/2020 11:43 am

Well we play the Ravens in week 3. Worst case scenario in my opinion is they lose to the Browns and Texans and are super desperate when we play them.

venturachief
venturachief
Reply to  tsv0728
09/11/2020 1:13 pm

Agree. The Ravens are our main contender for a first round bye.

stjoechief
09/11/2020 11:04 am

Agree with all except the Brows-Ravens game. I’ll believe Cleveland is a real threat when I see it. The Ravens have a strong roster and coach to their strengths.

Team Player
Team Player
Reply to  stjoechief
09/11/2020 11:35 am

The Browns have tons of talent – one of the top 3 teams in terms of talent alone. But they are not mentally tough. Or even sound. Best to keep them fighting each other (now I sound like a member of the star chamber). I’m with Tony on this one.

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