Week 12 NFL Power Rankings

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The official Arrowhead Guys NFL Power Rankings.


Tier 1: The Super Bowl Contenders

1: Kansas City Chiefs (Last Week: 1)
2: Buffalo Bills (Last Week: 2)
3: Miami Dolphins (Last Week: 4)
4: San Francisco 49ers (Last Week: 5)
5: Baltimore Ravens (Last Week: 6)

It seems weird that the current 3 seed is the only NFC team in the top tier, but since getting healthy they’ve looked much better than the other teams in the NFC. That being said, I’m still not completely sold on them. Their 3 wins since losing to the Chiefs were against the 3-7 Rams, the 5-5 Chargers, and the 4-7 Cardinals without Kyler Murray.

They have another relatively easy game against the Saints this week, but then they get their next big test against the Dolphins, which should be a good indication of how good they really are.

Tier 2: The Playoff Contenders


6: Tennessee Titans (Last Week: 8)
7: Cincinnati Bengals (Last Week: 9)

This was a nice win by the Bengals. Sure, on paper it looked like a close game against an inferior opponent, but they were actually up 14 before a garbage time touchdown made it look closer than it was. More importantly though this was a Steelers team that they have struggled against. With their issues protecting Burrow it’s little wonder they those issues get highlighted against TJ Watt. But in this game they actually managed to do well offensively despite two interceptions.

8: Philadelphia Eagles (Last Week: 3)

Last week I finally caved and put the Eagles in the contenders category, even despite the loss to Washington, then they go out and lay another egg against Indianapolis. Sure even top teams sometimes have bad days (see the Chiefs against the Colts for example), but twice in a row, when their best wins were against Cooper Rush and the Vikings, makes it hard to buy into the as a real top contender.

9: New York Giants (Last Week: 10)
10: Seattle Seahawks (Last Week: 11)
11: Dallas Cowboys (Last Week: 12)

I’m not sure what to make of the Giants losing to the Lions. Overall the Giants are clearly better, but there’s no doubt that the Lions looked like the much better team last week. Maybe they just had a random off day. Or maybe I was wrong to put faith in them and they actually aren’t very good.

12: Minnesota Vikings (Last Week: 7)
13: New York Jets (Last Week: 13)
14: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Last Week: 14)
15: Green Bay Packers (Last Week: 15)
16: Los Angeles Chargers (Last Week: 16)
17: Arizona Cardinals (Last Week: 17)

Like a filthy casual I bumped the Vikings up after their impressive win over the Bills. But considering that game was a bit weird, that they then proceeded to get absolutely destroyed by the Cowboys, and that all their wins were very close (they actually have a negative point differential despite being 8-2) it’s hard to argue that they’re a top 10 team.

Tier 3: The Less-Than-Good Teams

18: Pittsburgh Steelers (Last Week: 19)
19: Indianapolis Colts (Last Week: 20)

Jeff Saturday is a missed 50 yard field goal from potentially being 2-0 as a head coach. In fact, despite the turmoil they’re still within striking distance of a playoff spot if they can continue to play strong. Maybe Irsay was right and we were the ones who went crazy.

20: Jacksonville Jaguars (Last Week: 21)
21: Las Vegas Raiders (Last Week: 22)
22: Los Angeles Rams (Last Week: 18)

I’m still struggling with accepting the Rams as a bad team. It’s not just that they’re the defending champs, but also that they have been so consistently good under McVay that for them to not just be mediocre, but actually bad, is shocking. Like if the season ended today the pick the Lions are getting from the Rams is 7 picks higher in the draft than the Lions’ own pick.

There have been rumors of a McVay retirement, and after this season with a lack of future draft picks it wouldn’t be a surprise if he decided to move on.

23: Detroit Lions (Last Week: 30)

Speaking of the Lions, after their win against the Giants I went back and took a closer look at them, and I don’t think they’re as bad as I’ve had them. Their record isn’t great, but their losses have been mostly to quality teams. I’d say they’re very solidly a below average, but not terrible, team.

24: New England Patriots (Last Week: 28)
25: Atlanta Falcons (Last Week: 23)
26: Cleveland Browns (Last Week: 24)
27: New Orleans Saints (Last Week: 25)
28: Denver Broncos (Last Week: 26)
29: Washington Commanders (Last Week: 27)

The Broncos would be 9-1 if they scored 18 points in regulation every game. Considering the fact that they’re actually 3-7, this is one of the most amazing stats I’ve ever seen, and really highlights how terrible the Russell Wilson trade (and needless extension!) have been.

While the picks aren’t as extreme as the Herschel Walker Trade, the Russell Wilson Trade might go down as more ruinous because of the contract they gave him. This is a team that’s clearly a quarterback away from making serious noise and yet Wilson, who was meant to be the solution, will instead prevent them from ever finding a quality quarterback with this group.

Tier 4: The Terrible Teams

29: Chicago Bears (Last Week: 29)
31: Carolina Panthers (Last Week: 31)

32: Houston Texans (Last Week: 32)

The NFL is very even this year, so I’m almost hesitant to call the Bears and Panthers terrible. But I don’t want the Texans to be lonely down here, so I’ll keep them here for now.


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11/22/2022 12:51 pm

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Reply to  MasterChief
11/22/2022 3:56 pm

even Adam Teacher has KC at #1

Reply to  upamtn
11/22/2022 4:05 pm

NFL.com just put us up there for the first time as well.

11/22/2022 11:53 am

At the behest of a donkey colleague I looked at some of the footage he sent me. Considering they have an offense that aspires to be inept and can’t stay on the field that defense sure plays hard right up to the final moments of a game. Despite being on there for about 2/3 of the game. I am surely grateful that their front office couldn’t find their own ass with a map and clear directions. That offense will keep them in the toilet for a generation by the time they’ve got out from those contracts – and that assumes that the replacement decision makers can even spell competent.

Reply to  Straybrit
11/22/2022 1:32 pm

I love it. But I never thought that Wilson would be this bad. The Chiefs were a better team with Grbac, and dare I say Cassel? This trade and extension is going to haunt them for many years, and it’s marvelous

Reply to  ChiefsCo.
11/22/2022 3:59 pm

innit though? about the dumbest move they could possibly make, so of course they pull the trigger on it …

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