TOP 100 NFL QUARTERBACKS – RULES OF THE CONTEST

 22 replies

EAFOX Quarterback Contest. Follow the rules (or don’t). Join AG to participate and discuss.

Point 1 – This is based ONLY on statistics.  At no point did I allow my personal opinion to change the results.  I treated Matt Cassel the same as Joe Montana.

Point 2 – There are twelve active players on the list and some that could join the list at some point down the road.  Active players can move UP or DOWN the list based on future performance.

Point 3 – I tried to develop a formula that would be fair to players from all eras – career numbers are important but the game has changed multiple times over the years.  I believe I achieved that goal.

Point 4 – I started with statistics from 1932 – the first year that I could get detailed statistics from the reference page.  Most of the players added from the initial years were not even quarterbacks as the halfback was the most important position back then.  It took forever to compile statistics from 1932-2020.  Individual stats from this year were counted – like career touchdowns – but additional stats will not be available until the end of the season.

Point 5 – I started with two statistics for each year to determine how a player dominated a given season – each statistic was worth up to ten points – thus, twenty possible points per year.  The two statistics were passing yards and touchdowns.  The higher up each list – the more points received.  Numbers were not important – Peyton Manning leading a list with 55 TDs would receive the same points as EAFOX leading a list with 13 TDs.  The point of this one is to measure how one compared to their peers in a particular year.

Point 6 – Example with fake names

1932 Passing Yards

  1. EAFOX 4500 – 10 points
  2. Jones 4350 – 9 points
  3. Smith 3900 – 8 points
  4. BRAG 2850 – 7 points
  5. Steve 2200 – 6 points
  6. Mistake 2199 – 5 points
  7. Concussed 1877 – 4 points
  8. Trump 1500 – 3 points
  9. Biden 1499 – 2 points
  10. Tony 14 – 1 point

1932 TD Passes

  1. Steve 18 – 10 points
  2. EAFOX 17 – 9 points
  3. Concussed 16 – 8 points
  4. Mistake 15 – 7 points
  5. Jones 14 – 6 points
  6. Smith 13 – 5 points
  7. Biden 12 – 4 points
  8. Trump 10 – 3 points
  9. BRAG 5 – 2 points
  10. Tony 1 – 1 point

1932 Results – EAFOX 19 points, Steve 16 points, Jones 15 points, Smith 13 points, Concussed 12 points, Mistake 12 points, BRAG 9 points, Trump 6 points, Biden 6 points, Tony 2 points

Repeat this process for every year up to 2020.

Point 7 – I kept track of points earned, how many times a player was on a list, and the average number of points earned.  Six players earned over 200 points – with the high being 258.  Four players were on a list over thirty times – three with 33 appearances and one with 32.  Only three players averaged over 8 points while appearing on a list.  One had a perfect 10 but was only on one list and led the league that year in that category.

Point 8 – I then moved to career stats – passing yards and TD passes.  A player received a point for each thousand yards of passing – thus 30,000 yards earned a player 30 points.  A player received a point for each ten TD passes.  Thus, a player with 300 career TDs received 30 points.

Point 9 – With a complicated formula of adding and multiplication, the three sets from point 7 – points earned, times on the list, and average were combined with the two sets from point 8 – career yards and career TD passes to create a base score.  That balanced out high achieving players from the early years with lower career numbers from the rather mediocre players from the current era with better career stats due to the change in the game.

Point 10 – I then looked up the career record of every player on the list.  Stats are one thing but wins and losses are paramount.  Players received points for wins, deductions for losses, and the winning percentage was a multiplying factor used on the base score.  I had to use all three – getting points for 110 wins is great but does not mean as much if you have 115 losses.  A high winning percentage helps but a person with a .500 record but is 80-80 is doing better than a person with a .500 record who is 20-20.  The final magical formula of addition and multiplication with subtraction was used and the final score was determined.  The final two players both had a score of over 1000 while #100 on the list had a score of 114.  I did use three decimal places while calculating scores.

I will post the list in sets of ten as the week progresses.  Hope you enjoy cause I worked my butt off on this list.

 

 

 

 

 

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upamtn
upamtn(@upamtn)
10/26/2021 8:11 pm

most excellent, Fox …

Berserker
Berserker(@berserker)
Reply to  EAFOX
10/26/2021 4:41 pm

Randall Cunningham was my absolute favorite QB in the ’80s. Back then I wasn’t strictly a Chiefs fan yet, I just followed the whole NFL.

Berserker
Berserker(@berserker)
Reply to  EAFOX
10/26/2021 3:14 pm

You filthy Patrick hater.

Berserker
Berserker(@berserker)
Reply to  EAFOX
10/26/2021 3:22 pm

Huh. John Brodie, drafted 3rd overall in 1957, two picks ahead of Len Dawson. And two hundred picks ahead of Jack Kemp.

Berserker
Berserker(@berserker)
Reply to  Berserker
10/26/2021 3:28 pm

So in 1956, the 49ers drafted Earl Morrall 2nd overall, and then in 1957 the 49ers drafted John Brodie 3rd overall.

And in 1959, the 49ers drafted another QB, Dave Baker, 5th overall.

Berserker
Berserker(@berserker)
10/26/2021 2:49 pm

Damn, did you keep track of how many hours you put into this? Or do you not want that info laying around where your family might discover why you’ve been ignoring them?

rip58
rip58(@rip58lovealways)
10/26/2021 1:52 pm

… Breaking News Patrick Mahomes traded to the Royals…!!

zulu trader
zulu trader(@zulu-trader)
10/26/2021 1:41 pm

EA, I’ve been around here from the very first day. I remember a time when we had only a few comments on the whole site in a day. It was a lonely time.

But you have come in with great effort and zeal and revitalized our little site. You’ve made it fun and we are enjoying a modicum of success.

From the bottom of my heart — Thank You!

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Nasrani
Nasrani(@nasrani)
10/26/2021 12:22 pm

EAFox explaining the formula behind this list:

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Nasrani trying to make sense of the formula behind this list:

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Confound you, sir! I thought I was done with numbers and math and all that when I graduated!

(All kidding aside, this is a fantastic list, and I appreciate your keeping it as objective as you could. Looking forward to diving in!)

rip58
rip58(@rip58lovealways)
10/26/2021 12:15 pm

Awesomeness 😁

upamtn
upamtn(@upamtn)
10/25/2021 2:02 pm

looks like fun … what do I have to do to win the contest? 😉

Chief-Blinders-On
Chief-Blinders-On(@chiefblinderson)
Reply to  upamtn
10/26/2021 3:38 pm

Announce yourself as the winner.

upamtn
upamtn(@upamtn)
Reply to  Chief-Blinders-On
10/26/2021 8:10 pm

I AM THE WINNER!

(how’s that?)

Severely Concussed
Severely Concussed(@severely-concussed)
10/24/2021 11:34 am

Damn. This better be bumped to a feature article with all the work you put in.

Your way is smart. It is the argument I make when talking about Hall of Fame players. A player like Rod Smith is always brought up because his career numbers are better than some already in. But he was great not an all time great. I never thought he was the one of the 5 best wide recievers in the NFL in any season he played in. He was just consistently solid.

zulu trader
zulu trader(@zulu-trader)
Reply to  EAFOX
10/26/2021 1:32 pm

difficult analysis anyway you look at it

Chief-Blinders-On
Chief-Blinders-On(@chiefblinderson)
Reply to  Severely Concussed
10/26/2021 3:39 pm

It was.

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