Tony’s Picks: Divisional Round

 42 replies

Tony tells you where to put your money for this week’s NFL games.

Last week: 5-1

Overall: 178-99-1

This week: 6-0

Rams over Buccaneers

Last week I went 5-1, only getting the Cowboys wrong. But even then I said the 49ers were on upset alert, so I get partial credit?

This game is very much a coin flip in my mind. But I have to make a pick in my picks article, so I’ll go with the Rams for two reasons.

One, I’m a big fan of relying on history, and the Rams beat the Bucs fairly comfortably earlier in the season. Los Angeles was up 34-17 before Tampa Bay scored a garbage time touchdown.

Two, Tampa Bay may be without two of their offensive linemen that got injured against the Eagles. If both Wirfs and Jenson are out, Brady is going to be a sitting duck for Aaron Donald.

Packers over 49ers

The 49ers have shown some ability to beat the Packers recently, including the 2019 NFC Championship Game to earn the right to lose to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl, so it’s not completely crazy to think they could win. But it’s also Garoppolo against Rodgers, so it’s hard not to pick Rodgers.

Titans over Bengals

While we’re all rooting for the Bengals so that we can host the AFC Championship if we get there, I’m strangely confident that the Titans will win. Like, this is far and away my most confident pick of this week, and I’m not exactly sure why.

I think it’s a combination of thinking the Titans are underrated, especially now that they’re healthy, and that the Bengals are overrated. Cincinnati has inexplicably gotten some favorable ref treatment recently, but when they don’t, they’re not all that good.

I would be very surprised if the Bengals won.

Chiefs over Bills

I think this is the least confident I’ve been going into a playoff game in a while. The Chiefs are better and absolutely should win, but they’ve been inconsistent enough that I’m not so sure.

The last game against Buffalo has me a little nervous. Like I said, I’m a fan of history and, while the Chiefs dominated last year, the Bills showed up most recently. But that is mitigated by the fact that the Chiefs had 4 turnovers (Unlikely to happen again) and were missing Jones and Ward that game. Oh yeah, Melvin Ingram wasn’t with the team either.

I think this is a game where it’s going to a blowout, I just don’t know who will be the team doing the blowing out. If that first game was a real indicator and not a fluke, then the Bills will likely win by a big margin again. But if it was a fluke, then the Chiefs should handle business like last year and reach their 4th straight AFC Championship Game.

 
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NovaChiefs
NovaChiefs
01/21/2022 3:32 pm

Four games, but you’re going 6-0? That’s why you’re in charge around here.
Want: 9ers, Rams, Bengals, Chiefs
Get: Pack, Bucs, Bengals, Chiefs
I think the Bengals are better than the Titans, but it’s a question of pressure. Can the young team hold up? Beating the Raiders isn’t real playoff football

Chief-Blinders-On
01/21/2022 2:59 pm

Last edited 3 months ago by Chief-Blinders-On
steve_chiefs
steve_chiefs
Reply to  Chief-Blinders-On
01/21/2022 3:20 pm

Well thank you Andy .. now lets do this !!!!

upamtn
Reply to  steve_chiefs
01/21/2022 4:27 pm

LOL

probablyamistake
probablyamistake
01/21/2022 1:28 pm

Turnovers are the key now. Turnovers will determine the winners.

rip58
01/21/2022 1:14 pm

The eagle has landed!!!!!

steve_chiefs
steve_chiefs
Reply to  rip58
01/21/2022 1:35 pm

lets see if I can get Steve in trouble .hahaha ..

and I think Bengals will win over Titans, but we shall see. My God this state is cold

zulu trader
zulu trader
Reply to  steve_chiefs
01/21/2022 1:36 pm

Vegas is 66 and sunny today

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  zulu trader
01/21/2022 1:38 pm

Brag now… come July it’s going to be 110 there.

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  MasterChief
01/21/2022 1:39 pm

Now MY weather…. 60’s in winter, 70’s-80’s in summer.
comment image

steve_chiefs
steve_chiefs
Reply to  MasterChief
01/21/2022 1:41 pm

that’s what I’m talking about., prefect weather, think maybe you need to invite rip over to visit

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  steve_chiefs
01/21/2022 1:43 pm

Got the beach 20 min away, LA is 45-60 min away.

steve_chiefs
steve_chiefs
Reply to  MasterChief
01/21/2022 1:46 pm

I think Disney is the only time I’ve been in that state would like to see it sometime

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  steve_chiefs
01/21/2022 2:20 pm

CA is known for a few things, some good, some bad. But it’s so much more diverse in land, weather, and people than even most Californians realize.

If you ever see Huell Howser’s show “California’s Gold”, watch it. He’s an Oklahoman who goes all over CA and checks everything out.

steve_chiefs
steve_chiefs
Reply to  MasterChief
01/21/2022 2:25 pm

ok cool I will check it out. I would like to see those drives along the ocean with the giant boulders in the water

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  steve_chiefs
01/21/2022 2:36 pm

In the same day, you could drive along the coast, through farmland, then desert, then alpine mountains. It’s worth it just from a natural beauty standpoint.

Personally, I’d avoid Hollywood, LA, blah blah blah, etc. It’s mostly crap. Unless, of course, you’re going to Chiefs @ Chargers or Chiefs in the SB this year.

Last edited 3 months ago by MasterChief
steve_chiefs
steve_chiefs
Reply to  MasterChief
01/21/2022 2:38 pm

wow….sounds awesome

probablyamistake
probablyamistake
Reply to  MasterChief
01/21/2022 3:08 pm

comment image

MasterChief
MasterChief
Reply to  probablyamistake
01/21/2022 3:29 pm

I’d say so.

steve_chiefs
steve_chiefs
Reply to  zulu trader
01/21/2022 1:39 pm

it was four this morning, think steve said its fifteen now, he had to finish up some work so i hijacked his computer

probablyamistake
probablyamistake
Reply to  steve_chiefs
01/21/2022 2:14 pm

Which Steve?

steve_chiefs
steve_chiefs
Reply to  probablyamistake
01/21/2022 2:16 pm

steve chiefs ?

probablyamistake
probablyamistake
Reply to  steve_chiefs
01/21/2022 2:18 pm

If you say so 😁

steve_chiefs
steve_chiefs
Reply to  probablyamistake
01/21/2022 2:22 pm

after I pondered, I got a little confused there myself.

upamtn
Reply to  steve_chiefs
01/21/2022 4:29 pm

and this is new? 😉

gonzangkc11
gonzangkc11
Reply to  rip58
01/21/2022 2:05 pm

let me know if the Gentlemen Club “talent” is any better in KC

steve_chiefs
steve_chiefs
Reply to  gonzangkc11
01/21/2022 2:15 pm

Its to cold here to get naked.. And all I’m looking forward to tonight is a badass steak and a few drinks.

larch
01/21/2022 12:39 pm

Packers vs Rams, Titans vs Chiefs.
i have a good feeling about the Chiefs game.

upamtn
Reply to  larch
01/21/2022 4:30 pm

hope you’re right!

probablyamistake
probablyamistake
01/21/2022 12:29 pm

Welp, we’re down to it now boys and girls. This is what the players play for and what we wait for. This. Back in the day pundits would always ask how the niners could handle this QB or that QB. My response when asked by friends was how are they gonna handle Joe. That’s my approach on this one.

gonzangkc11
gonzangkc11
01/21/2022 11:58 am

CHIEFS win by double digits on Sun (1/23)

vvet818
01/21/2022 11:30 am

Reason three for picking the Rams is fuck Tom Brady

gonzangkc11
gonzangkc11
Reply to  Tony Sommer
01/21/2022 11:59 am

well, well, well….
Bucs will enjoy the PAIN Chiefs did – when Chiefs were missing THREE starters on offensive line

Old saying…
Karma is a mother (fill in the blank)

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  gonzangkc11
01/21/2022 4:26 pm

Fucker

DenverDonkeyHater
DenverDonkeyHater
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
01/21/2022 4:28 pm

Von Miller destroyed Brady once upon a time in the playoffs

upamtn
Reply to  DenverDonkeyHater
01/21/2022 4:32 pm

one can only hope … Miller & Donald, let’s do this

upamtn
Reply to  gonzangkc11
01/21/2022 4:31 pm

ever hear of the Karma Cafe? there’s no menu: you get what you deserve …

upamtn
01/21/2022 10:59 am

good picks, hard to argue against any of ’em … I hope for Stafford’s sake the Rams win, I like the Niners (polite enough to allow us to beat ’em coupla yr ago) but really hard to pick JimmyG over Rodgers, Titans just have too much for the Bengals, I think … and that leaves the toughest game to call: Bills v Chiefs

Geaux Chiefs!

ArrowFan
ArrowFan
01/21/2022 10:17 am

Never underestimate the power of Arrowhead. That one untimely false start is absolutely huge.

gonzangkc11
gonzangkc11
Reply to  ArrowFan
01/21/2022 12:00 pm
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