Last week: 5-1
This week: 6-0
Rams over Buccaneers
Last week I went 5-1, only getting the Cowboys wrong. But even then I said the 49ers were on upset alert, so I get partial credit?
This game is very much a coin flip in my mind. But I have to make a pick in my picks article, so I’ll go with the Rams for two reasons.
One, I’m a big fan of relying on history, and the Rams beat the Bucs fairly comfortably earlier in the season. Los Angeles was up 34-17 before Tampa Bay scored a garbage time touchdown.
Two, Tampa Bay may be without two of their offensive linemen that got injured against the Eagles. If both Wirfs and Jenson are out, Brady is going to be a sitting duck for Aaron Donald.
#bucs All-Pro RT Tristan Wirfs (ankle) and Pro Bowl C Ryan Jensen (ankle) have both now officially not practiced Wednesday and Thursday.— James Palmer (@JamesPalmerTV) January 20, 2022
Packers over 49ers
The 49ers have shown some ability to beat the Packers recently, including the 2019 NFC Championship Game to earn the right to lose to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl, so it’s not completely crazy to think they could win. But it’s also Garoppolo against Rodgers, so it’s hard not to pick Rodgers.
Titans over Bengals
While we’re all rooting for the Bengals so that we can host the AFC Championship if we get there, I’m strangely confident that the Titans will win. Like, this is far and away my most confident pick of this week, and I’m not exactly sure why.
I think it’s a combination of thinking the Titans are underrated, especially now that they’re healthy, and that the Bengals are overrated. Cincinnati has inexplicably gotten some favorable ref treatment recently, but when they don’t, they’re not all that good.
I would be very surprised if the Bengals won.
Chiefs over Bills
I think this is the least confident I’ve been going into a playoff game in a while. The Chiefs are better and absolutely should win, but they’ve been inconsistent enough that I’m not so sure.
The last game against Buffalo has me a little nervous. Like I said, I’m a fan of history and, while the Chiefs dominated last year, the Bills showed up most recently. But that is mitigated by the fact that the Chiefs had 4 turnovers (Unlikely to happen again) and were missing Jones and Ward that game. Oh yeah, Melvin Ingram wasn’t with the team either.
I think this is a game where it’s going to a blowout, I just don’t know who will be the team doing the blowing out. If that first game was a real indicator and not a fluke, then the Bills will likely win by a big margin again. But if it was a fluke, then the Chiefs should handle business like last year and reach their 4th straight AFC Championship Game.