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Mr. Fox will be joining the Arrowhead Guys writing team. Make sure to congratulate him–and offer him free sliced bread, beer, KISS memorabilia and EX analogies. ~ CBO
I took the most logical candidate from each division and added two wild card entrants to look at the race for MVP this year. There is a quarterback bias but – be honest here – the quarterback wins most of the time. This race is not based on who I think will win but who will be favored to win. I will probably update these standings as the season goes on.
1 – Russell Wilson – Base Score: 50
A sentimental favorite among the voters. If it is close, he will get the nod. Russell is his teams’ offense and has a tough division to play against. Seattle must win the division for Russell to have a realistic chance to win this year.
2 – Josh Allen – Base Score: 45
Buffalo will have a good record which is a prerequisite to win. If the system is controlled by the NFL, it makes a good story – another young MVP winner. It adds credibility to matchups. Will Allen be able to produce good numbers on a defense oriented team?
3 – Patrick Mahomes – Base Score: 40
“You’re Patrick Mahomes? I mean, not Patrick Mahomes, you’re Dak Prescott?”— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) September 7, 2021
Cowboys DB Trevon Diggs’ son, Aaiden, got to meet his favorite QB Dak Prescott and it was adorable ❤️ 😅
4 – Aaron Rodgers – Base Score: 40
They should be one and two but both are handicapped. Mahomes will have to top 50 touchdowns and Rodgers will have to exceed his numbers from last year in a tight race. Mahomes will have the stigma of having great teammates while Rodgers [whom is not well liked] has the great stats but lack of recent playoff success.
5 – Derrick Henry – Base Score: 35
The Titans will have to win 12 games and Henry will have to rush for over 2000 yards for him to have a chance. If there is a quarterback with 50 TDs and 5000 yards, he still would not have a chance due to positional bias.
6 – Tom Brady – Base Score: 30
7 – Lamar Jackson – Base Score: 30
The NFL would love to hand Brady the award and some in the media would go all out trying to sell it to the public. Can the old man match the young guns stats? Jackson would have to take the Ravens to 12 wins and – not only with his feet – been there, done that – but with his arm. Can he do it? (NO?)
8 – Aaron Donald – Base Score: 25
Donald would have to set the sack record to realistically have a chance with the Rams performing well. I could mention Chris Jones here but he is out (OVER) shadowed by his quarterback. Like Henry, Donald would be second place if a quarterback has huge stats.
9 – Dak Prescott – Base Score: 20
Patrick Mahomes Dak – as overrated as they come – has an outside chance if Dallas is able to dominate a weak division and he plays reasonably well. Players coming back from injury earn bonus points in the minds of the voters. We know Dallas stunk without him.
10 – Derek Carr – Base Score: 1
If Gruden pulls it together – HA HA HA – and the Raiders win more than 10 games – HA HA HA – and Carr plays well – HA HA HA – without crying like a little school girl – HA HA HA, some jackass, probably his brother, will mention him as a candidate. [Everyone probably needs a good laugh! ~ CBO]