1. San Francisco 49ers
The NFC West is a really tough division to predict, the top 3 teams are close. But the 49ers I think will win it if only because they were decent last year, should improve their turnover differential, and Nick Bosa is coming back. As I noted before Super Bowl LIV, he’s a huge part of their defense.
Having now watched every 49ers game, I'm not sure they really have a great defense top-to-bottom. More like they have an average defense + Nick Bosa. When he isn't wrecking shop they can give up points. https://t.co/dI8c9VVMjT— Tony Sommer (@Tony_Sommer) January 25, 2020
So altogether I think there’s a tiny gap between them and the rest of the division.
2. Los Angeles Rams
The Rams and Seahawks are neck-and-neck, so putting the Rams ahead is more of a coin flip than anything.
People are hyping them, but as I mentioned in the NFC North preview the gap between Stafford and Goff isn’t all that big, plus they lost a couple good players in John Johnson and Michael Brockers. I wouldn’t be surprised if they actually end up with a worse record this year as they no longer have the NFC East to artificially prop them up.
3. Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks are the bane of the analytics community, as they continue to needlessly run the ball despite having a future Hall of Fame quarterback under center. The NFC East plus a bit of luck helped them to a good record last year, but as you can see from the lack of impressive games, they weren’t really as good as the record shows. They’re not going to be terrible or anything, but they need to prepare for a disappointing season.
4. Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals had a nice season last year given how low they were the past couple seasons, but like the rest of their division they were fortunate to get a couple free wins courtesy of the NFC East. They should be better in 2020, but that may not translate into actually winning more games.