Arrowhead Guys has decided to analyze the roster, position by position, heading into the draft in order to identify gaps in the projected roster that will need to be addressed via the draft, UDFA’s, or FA signings. In order to predict the number of players that will make the final roster per position we analyzed trends for the Kansas City Chiefs offense from 2016-2018 and the New York Giants from 2007-2008 and 2017 to determine number of offensive and defensive players kept at each position.
The predicted roster numbers will be used in reviewing the players currently under contract at their projected positions in order to identify the positions of greatest need. This series will feature one position per day for 10 consecutive days, yes that means the weekend, culminating in a road map to identifying the Chiefs areas of need.
Currently Under Contract: 5
|92||Tanoh Kpass||DE||24||6′ 7″||289 lbs||3||Villanova|
|90||Emmanuel Ogbah||DE||25||6′ 4″||275 lbs||4||Oklahoma State|
|57||Alex Okafor||DE||28||6′ 4″||261 lbs||7||Texas|
|57||Breeland Speaks||DE||25||6′ 3″||285 lbs||4||Ole Miss|
|69||Rob McCray||DE||23||6′ 2″||280 lbs||1||Indiana|
Projected Roster Spots: 5
Much like Defensive Tackle, Defensive End was fairly consistent year to year under Steve Spagnuolo. During the years reviewed he carried 5 DE’s twice and 4 one time. Defensive line as a whole accounted for 9-10 roster spots each year.
Who makes the Cut?
Breeland Speaks, Alex Okafor, Tanoh Kpassagnon and probably Emmanuel Ogbah are destined to make the roster. Obviously the talent level among them leaves a lot to be desired so don’t be shocked if one misses the cut to make room for someone picked in the first three rounds.
Defensive end/EDGE has gone from a strength to somewhat of a weakness for the Chiefs in a matter of months. The team traded Dee Ford to the 49ers and cut Justin Houston who ended up signing with the Colts. They traded for Ogbah and signed Okafor in free agency, but that’s obviously still a step down from what they had last year.
The development of Kpassagnon and Speaks is going to be vitally important to this group. They’re going to be asked to be major contributors this season and hopefully they’re up for the challenge.
Realistically the talent at this position isn’t near good enough to replicate what it accomplished last year even with the schematic changes that will be made this season.
It is more than likely that the Chiefs look to improve at the position through the draft with one of their first four picks. They don’t own a fourth-round pick as of this moment so it’s safe to safe if they do draft an EDGE player it’ll be with one of those picks.
The Chiefs are going to draft someone to help fill the talent void at the position, and realistically they can’t afford to wait past round three to do it. Okafor and most likely Speaks are your top two guys going into camp, and then Ogbah and Kpassagnon are to follow. If the Chiefs were to trade up and take a Montez Sweat or Brian Burns (who realistically wouldn’t fall past 15) then that could shake some things up.
Even with the likelihood that the Chiefs are going to go to a more technical pass rush approach with more twists, stunts etc. they still need that guy that’s talented enough to where he doesn’t need games up front to win his match up.
Prospects to Consider
Montez Sweat, DE, Mississippi State
Jachai Polite, DE, Florida
Chase Winovich, DE, Michigan
Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson