Arrowhead Guys has decided to analyze the roster, position by position, heading into the draft in order to identify gaps in the projected roster that will need to be addressed via the draft, UDFA’s, or FA signings. In order to predict the number of players that will make the final roster per position we analyzed trends for the Kansas City Chiefs offense from 2016-2018 and the New York Giants from 2007-2008 and 2017 to determine number of offensive and defensive players kept at each position.
The predicted roster numbers will be used in reviewing the players currently under contract at their projected positions in order to identify the positions of greatest need. This series will feature one position per day for 10 consecutive days, yes that means the weekend, culminating in a road map to identifying the Chiefs areas of need.
Currently Under Contract: 7
|57||Chris Jones||DT||24||6′ 6″||310 lbs||7||Mississippi State|
|74||Justin Hamilton||DT||25||6′ 2″||315 lbs||4||Louisiana-Lafayette|
|68||Joey Ivie||DT||24||6′ 3″||295 lbs||1||Florida|
|92||Henry Mondeaux||DT||23||6′ 5″||280 lbs||1||Oregon|
|91||Derrick Nnadi||DT||22||6′ 1″||312 lbs||2||Florida State|
|?||Cavon Walker||DT||24||6′ 2″||278 lbs||1||Maryland|
|98||Xavier Williams||DT||27||6′ 2″||309 lbs||5||Northern Iowa|
Projected Roster Spots: 5
Defensive Tackle was one of the most consistent groups regarding roster count year to year under Steve Spagnuolo. During the years reviewed he carried 5 DT’s twice and 4 one time. Defensive line as a whole accounted for 9-10 roster spots each year.
Who makes the Cut?
Chris Jones, Derrick Nnadi, Xavier Williams and Justin Hamilton are all likely to make the 53 man roster short of signing Suh and drafting a DT in the first round. Ivie, Walker and Mondeaux?
I’ve said for a while now that DT is quietly the strongest position group on the defense. While it was The Chris Jones Show last year in Kansas City, Nnadi, Williams and Hamilton all turned in solid season despite not receiving much fanfare.
Its almost like we coordinated this series together…
I believe the Chiefs are comfortable with their DT depth right now and that it is not a position of great need. It is a position that could definitely be improved, but don’t suspect the Chiefs will invest a high draft pick at the position. Chris Jones has one starting position locked down and the Chiefs spent a 3rd round pick on Nnadi just last season, I suspect he’ll get a chance to start.
The main justification I’ve seen for drafting a DT early is that Jones is the only true 3-Technique DT on the roster. That may be true, but no team has a Chris Jones on the bench waiting to rotate in for Chris Jones when he needs a breather.
The Chiefs need to add a 3-Tech DT to the roster to develop behind Chris Jones to get to 5 DT’s on the roster. A rotational DT is a borderline luxury pick in my opinion, I would target the position in the 3rd to 5th round of the draft unless an absolute stud fell in the early rounds.
Prospects to Consider
Chris Slayton, DT, Syracuse
Demarcus Christmas, DT, Florida State
Trysten Hill, DT, Central Florida
Ricky Walker, DT, Virginia Tech
Special thanks to @PFF_Chiefs for helping us with the positional grades. If you are on twitter give them a follow.